A Machine Learning Specialist is implementing a full Bayesian network on a dataset that describes public transit in New York City. One of the random variables is discrete, and represents the number of minutes New Yorkers wait for a bus given that the buses cycle every 10 minutes, with a mean of 3 minutes.
Which prior probability distribution should the ML Specialist use for this variable?
- Poisson distribution
- Uniform distribution
- Normal distribution
- Binomial distribution
Answer(s): A
Explanation:
If you have information about the average (mean) number of things that happen in some given time period / interval, Poisson distribution can give you a way to predict the odds of getting some other value on a given future day
Reference:
https://brilliant.org/wiki/poisson-distribution/
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