Free IIA-CIA-Part3 Exam Braindumps (page: 22)

Page 22 of 390

A chief executive officer (CEO) believes that a major competitor may be planning a new campaign. The CEO sends a questionnaire to key personnel asking for original thinking concerning what the new campaign may be. The CEO selects the best possibilities and then sends another questionnaire asking for the most likely option. The process employed by the CEO is called the:

  1. Least squares technique
  2. Delphi technique.
  3. Maximum likelihood technique.
  4. Optimizing of expected payoffs.

Answer(s): B

Explanation:

The Delphi technique is a forecasting or decision-making approach that attempts to avoid groupthink (the tendency of individuals to conform to what they perceive to be the consensus). The technique allows only written, anonymous communication among group members. Each member takes a position on the problem at hand. A summary of these positions is communicated to each member. The process is repeated for several iterations as the members move toward a consensus Thus, the Delphi technique is a qualitative, not quantitative, technique.



An audit manager has just returned from an executive training program and has suggested that the audit department develop a mathematical model to help identify factors that may be causing changes in the cost of production. According to the manager, the model should recognize that the company currently has three separate production (cost) centers.
Which of the following approaches would best provide the analysis suggested by the audit manager?

  1. Develop a classical variables sampling estimate of cost of production per department, with the sample stratified by the dollar value of each product produced.
  2. Develop a 3-year ratio analysis of the cost of production compared to the cost of raw inventory across the three departments.
  3. Develop a multiple regression analysis of production costs, including such variables as raw material inventory costs, number of employees in the department, and overtime pay.
  4. Develop a linear regression analysis relating the cost of production to the cost of goods sold.

Answer(s): C

Explanation:

Regression analysis extends correlation to find an equation for the linear relationship among variables. The behavior of a dependent variable, such as cost of production, is explained in terms of one or more independent variables (for example, raw material costs, employees, overtime). Thus, multiple regression analysis determines functional relationships among quantitative variables.



A bank has two drive-in lanes to serve customers:


The technique used in analyzing the problem is best described as:

  1. Simulation theory.
  2. Integrated autoregressive-moving average (ARIMA) modeling.
  3. Linear programming.
  4. Differential calculus.

Answer(s): A

Explanation:

Answer A is correct. Simulation is a technique for experimenting with logical/mathematical models using a computer. Despite the power of mathematics, many problems cannot be solved by known analytical methods because of the behavior of the variables and the complexity of their interactions. However, the performance of a quantitative model under uncertainty may be investigated by randomly selecting values for each of the variables in the model (based on the probability distribution of each variable) and then calculating the value of the solution. If this process is performed a large number of times, the distribution of results from the model will be obtained.



A bank has two drive-in lanes to serve customers:


The process of making sure that the model measures what it is supposed to measure is called:

  1. Statistical inference.
  2. Hypothesis testing.
  3. Confidence coefficient analysis.
  4. Validation.

Answer(s): D

Explanation:

Validation is a step in the simulation procedure. Some assurance is needed that the results of the experiment will be realistic. This assurance requires validation of the model --often using historical data. If the model gives results equivalent to what actually happened, the model is historically valid. There is still some risk, however, that changes could make the model invalid for the future.



Page 22 of 390



Post your Comments and Discuss IIA IIA-CIA-Part3 exam with other Community members:

Gosia commented on December 16, 2024
Hi, did you have the same questions on exams?
POLAND
upvote

Becky commented on June 23, 2024
Exam collections here awesome. Kudos
Anonymous
upvote

Shehata mohamed commented on December 13, 2023
Many thanks cia part 3
Anonymous
upvote

IIA-CIA-Part3 commented on July 16, 2023
CIA Exam Part Three: Business Knowledge for Internal Auditing
Anonymous
upvote

KC commented on December 20, 2017
Very helpful. For a another braindump I paid almost 4 times this and got the same material. Then I came across this site. Can't believe the same set of questions and answers are sold for almost a fraction of a price with much better quality and support.
UNITED STATES
upvote