A large fishing operation has information on the interval, time, and probabilities of shrimp schools staying beneath their fishing boats. In order to use this information to predict when and where to send their boats, which of the following techniques should be used?
- Simulation.
- Least squares.
- Queuing theory.
- Exponential smoothing.
Answer(s): A
Explanation:
Simulation Monte Carlo simulation) is a technique for experimenting with logical/mathematical models using a computer. Despite the power of mathematics, many problems cannot be solved by known analytical methods because of the behavior of the variables and the complexity of their interactions. However, the performance of a quantitative model under uncertainty may be investigated by randomly selecting values for each variable in the model based on its probability distribution) and then calculating the value of the solution. If this process is performed many times, the distribution of results from the model will be obtained.
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